Yes, I do.
3 - 5 years out and you think battery prices will drop significantly (like 30 - 50%)? The other thing a lot of folks don't understand is the time frame to design, a car. But its a pretty safe bet to say every OEM out there, has math designs already on vehicle in your 3 - 5 yr time span.
And I fully understand the development cycle for building cars, I have a number of friends that work in the auto industry. If you do an industry-wide assessment you can see that GM is postured for success in a marketplace shifting towards EV.
The work to ban them has already begun.
Just an example over 2 yrs ago, Organization's for the Blind started a push to require OEM's to have EV's make a sound when moving, there was lots of discussions, and in the US the bill just passed. It goes into effect for all EV's in 2020 depending on how the OEM's respond that might get pushed out further as thats a tight design window. And this is to add a speaker and some electronics that are about the size of a shoe box. To totally drop Diesel engines and replace with Electrics would take a lot longer.
The cool thing about the internet and making future predictions. In 3 - 5 yrs someone dig this up and see where we are. I will be amazed if there is a huge (over 30% market penetration of new cars) in Europe.
By 2030 Germany intends to ban the sales of all new petrol and diesel cars, and although this hasn't yet been adopted by the EU, the wheels are in motion. Paris is often in the news for excessive smog, and has taken to banning cars with even or odd number plates to cut down on pollution during heavy pollution periods. Stuttgart intends to follow
in the coming year. I predict that it will be well before 2030 that we see a complete ban on diesel in the city center.
The biggest challenge so far has been a lack of charging infrastructure and the high cost of electricity in Germany. But, I also think we're on the verge of overcoming these issues and when we do we will see rapid adoption. However, whatever the outcome, we can be sure that GM/Opel won't be part of that revolution.