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For those trying to analyze when their car will be here

2674 Views 30 Replies 13 Participants Last post by  WGH
Sorry but It cannot be done...
No matter how hard you try, you cannot figure all the factors in to guess when your car may be here.... From how they put the orders throught the system. to quality glitches in inspection, to waiting for the car carrier or train car getting filled, how many stops it has to make along the way, etc .. every car will be different.

Buyer A's car gets imaged and sent through the system, well just so happens that everything falls into place and it goes through withoug a hitch, the car gets built without delay, and sent to inspection, passes with flying colors, goes out and is the last car to get on the car carrier and goes right out... as little as a couple weeks..
then Buyer B's car is Imaged, and as it goes through processing there is a delay in getting the monsoon sound system, only a couple days but it happened.... so it's build does not go through until that can be assigned to the car. then when it gets built there is a quality glitch with the car, it gets sent to a rework area for repairs.. that could take a couple weeks... then it is inspected again and goes to the carrier, and just so happens to be the first car going on the carrier, and it happens to be going to an area with small dealerships with little allocations... it may take a while to fill that carrier up... (waiting on that myself),
So really there are just too many factors to be able to figure a good average time for your car to come in, that is why they always give you the old 6 to 8 weeks timeframe... because nobody can accuately guess....
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No No No

I have feed all my info in tomy company main frame and it is sure April 14th is the date for my SKY.....and we all know computers can't lie.....:lol: :lol: :lol: Seal9
I am one of the ones who have been asking for inputs on time from order, to image, to delivery. I am just trying to get a better ball park than what the dealer is giving me, which is everywhere from the middle of April until June! :banghead: :brentil:
Although people would like an exact date, an approximate date based on other peoples experience will give us all some peace. I know that Canadian orders have been put in some inbox somewhere with a hold. I also expect it will take longer to ship a Canadian order due to border restrictions and what ever inspections might be required.

We are being told that cars should be arriving at Canadian dealers around May 11th. Based on that we can assume nothing is happening with our orders at this time. So Don't bother your Canadian dealer. At some point (I'd guess in the next 2-3 weeks) we should get a TPW for Canadian orders if they are to arrive for a May 11th kickoff.

If it goes past 4 weeks then we have to start figuring the cars won't arrive until sometime after May 11th. As I said above I don't think anyone is looking for an exact date or even a precise week. We are looking for a range. If the average delivery time after TPW is 4 weeks then plus or minus we can expect a car in that time.

Sure things happen thats why we are trying to determine an average.

BTW Order date for Canadians does not factor into it. I ordered mine in early January. Our orders seem to be on hold. For us TPW is the count down date that matters.
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Can I help you in anyway? I have my timeline posted on other threads. BUt mine is based off of a dealer demo image, and was in the initial start up of production, however I am waiting for it to physically be here, so as to determine rail transport time span. Left last Friday headed for Dallas/Ft Worth, shows on the computer to be hear, but physically isn't, Computer is down for this dealer so couldn't get a status check this morning. Will get one this afternoon if all is well. PM me if you want.:thumbs: :cheers:
The only thing you can be sure of is when your dealer calls you and says "YOUR CAR IS HERE" I think there will be so many different factors and the ranges will be so varied nobody can predict when the car will be there... You might as well ask a fortune teller...they will be as close as anyone...
how about a thread that as soon ad you get your image you post how long you think it will be before the car comes then after it comes tell exactly how long it did take.... if you have noticed even the time from going from one Code to another is varying by weeks..... and then sometime it will say shipped and it hasn"t even left the lot...
the only two dates you can count on id the day you put in your image order and the day you get your car.... all the other factors can change...

I don't want to be a party pooper , but come on guys, be realistic... getting Joes date's and comparing them with Phil's dates will not make you know when your car will be here... IF they both lived where you do, and ordered their cars exactly like yours and they will be delivered in the same manner to the same dealership, you may come within a week or two... but it is still just a guess...
Even Ernest knows those dates on the computer can change or not even be accurate.....
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SkyMan 07 said:
The only thing you can be sure of is when your dealer calls you and says "YOUR CAR IS HERE" I think there will be so many different factors and the ranges will be so varied nobody can predict when the car will be there... You might as well ask a fortune teller...they will be as close as anyone...
how about a thread that as soon ad you get your image you post how long you think it will be before the car comes then after it comes tell exactly how long it did take.... if you have noticed even the time from going from one Code to another is varying by weeks..... and then sometime it will say shipped and it hasn"t even left the lot...
the only two dates you can count on id the day you put in your image order and the day you get your car.... all the other factors can change...

I don't want to be a party pooper , but come on guys, be realistic... getting Joes date's and comparing them with Phil's dates will not make you know when your car will be here... IF they both lived where you do, and ordered their cars exactly like yours and they will be delivered in the same manner to the same dealership, you may come within a week or two... but it is still just a guess...
Even Ernest knows those dates on the computer can change or not even be accurate.....
what was the purpose of this thread? to bring everyones moral down? I borrowed the SETI network and came up with a date of April 23, at 7:54:03pm pst. now your gonna tell me that SETI is wrong???
:D
usmc said:
what was the purpose of this thread? to bring everyones moral down? I borrowed the SETI network and came up with a date of April 23, at 7:54:03pm pst. now your gonna tell me that SETI is wrong???
:D
just trying to get people to be realistic and not expect more than they should... if that is bringing down moral then people need to wake up and smell the coffee, the world is full of dissapointments. and most of them we bring on ourselves with unrealistic expectations....
just ask yourself what good is that going to do? It won't get you your car any faster... wouldn't you rather get the road atlas out and plan trips for your new car?
How many threads have people started on that subject? Seems like someone would have figured it out by now, it didn't work for the Solstice bunch, so why should it work here... especially with it just starting production....
Like I said get realistic guys....
SkyMan 07 said:
just ask yourself what good is that going to do? It won't get you your car any faster... wouldn't you rather get the road atlas out and plan trips for your new car?
How many threads have people started on that subject? Seems like someone would have figured it out by now, it didn't work for the Solstice bunch, so why should it work here... especially with it just starting production....
Like I said get realistic guys....
SkyMan -- I'm with you. When everyone was wondering when production would start and when they'd order (er image -- or whatever it is called) then when would they get it :willy: -- I kept saying -- "Only one thing counts.." --> Rick -- your car is here ready for pick up....:thumbs:
Rick Tinley Park said:
SkyMan -- I'm with you. When everyone was wondering when production would start and when they'd order (er image -- or whatever it is called) then when would they get it :willy: -- I kept saying -- "Only one thing counts.." --> Rick -- your car is here ready for pick up....:thumbs:
of course you guys are right, but why ruin the fun?

sigh, can't wait till I'm retired
It's still fun to take a guess on when your car will get here tho. Nothing wrong with hoping and being excited.

I've been keeping an eye on alot of those numbers as well, granted mine could take a lot longer or perhaps shorter. But if you have a general idea on how long they are taking on average... it's FUN to try to figure it all out.
Rick Tinley Park said:
SkyMan -- I'm with you. When everyone was wondering when production would start and when they'd order (er image -- or whatever it is called) then when would they get it :willy: -- I kept saying -- "Only one thing counts.." --> Rick -- your car is here ready for pick up....:thumbs:
anyway to get a good sampling of when you COULD expect your car you will have to wait till production is up to full song and several thousand images and built from each area of the country, then you may be able to figure an average time to get one... and you just cannot get reliable figures right now...not enough data will be avaliable for a long time...

I still say 6 to 8 weeks is about as good a guess as you can hope for....
Ernest thanks for your positive imput! You have already given me some info in another post and I am watching your progress. I wish others would be a little more positive. As I stated, I don't plan on establishing an exact date! We just want to get a window.

OK some people are going to take 10 weeks and others are going to be 4 1/2. In the end you get an average. Plus or minus.

Besides what else do I have to do here? As I said in my post about this, please don't rain on my parade! If you have some information to contribute to help us please feel free to.
rick112 said:
Ernest thanks for your positive imput! You have already given me some info in another post and I am watching your progress. I wish others would be a little more positive. As I stated, I don't plan on establishing an exact date! We just want to get a window.

OK some people are going to take 10 weeks and others are going to be 4 1/2. In the end you get an average. Plus or minus.

Besides what else do I have to do here? As I said in my post about this, please don't rain on my parade! If you have some information to contribute to help us please feel free to.
I did not post in your thread so I wouldn't be raining on your parade, then you come here and criticize me.....if they want to post useless info into your thread so you feel like you are acomplishing something the let them... this thread is for realists that knows in the long run it will not matter...
I am Positive, I am positive I will get my car when I get my car. Period, If it take one more day or 4 more weeks I am still getting it.... and trying to figure out when won't make it get here any sooner...

let me ask you something, how many points of information do you think it will take to get an good average? and how will that help someone in California compared to someone in Delaware? may I ask you Plus or Minus what? Who is going to set the limits? plus or minus one week, 10 weeks? who knows...
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SkyMan 07 said:
I did not post in your thread so I wouldn't be raining on your parade, then you come here and criticize me.....if they want to post useless info into your thread so you feel like you are acomplishing something the let them... this thread is for realists that knows in the long run it will not matter...
I am Positive, I am positive I will get my car when I get my car. Period, If it take one more day or 4 more weeks I am still getting it.... and trying to figure out when won't make it get here any sooner...

let me ask you something, how many points of information do you think it will take to get an good average? and how will that help someone in California compared to someone in Delaware? may I ask you Plus or Minus what? Who is going to set the limits? plus or minus one week, 10 weeks? who knows...
fair enough, this is your thread.
Just trying to be a voice of reason, not wanting to read into anyone's elses experiences and expect mine to be similar...
It will take a long time before an average can be established... just a few posts on here will not do the job....
especially like I said on a new car that is not up to full production...
too many threads have already been devoted to "When can I expect my car?"
expect it sometime after you actually get to order it...
Well guys I mark it up to excitement... It's kinda like waiting for Santa to come and what he will bring you...

I get a kick out of reading them all....
Rick Tinley Park said:
Well guys I mark it up to excitement... It's kinda like waiting for Santa to come and what he will bring you...

I get a kick out of reading them all....
the thing is you know when santa is coming, you just don't know what he is bringing.... LOL
seal9 said:
I have feed all my info in tomy company main frame and it is sure April 14th is the date for my SKY.....and we all know computers can't lie.....:lol: :lol: :lol: Seal9
Right!

And I am the Pope! Bless you my son.:lol:
SkyMan 07 said:
the thing is you know when santa is coming, you just don't know what he is bringing.... LOL
OMG it's the opposite
We know what he's bringing -- we just don't know WHEN!:willy:
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